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US slowdown affects Europe growth: French PM

02 May 2008, 23:57 CET

(WASHINGTON) - Visiting French Prime Minister Francois Fillon insisted here Friday that the French and European economies are sound, but that the US economic slowdown will effect Europe's growth.

"Our fundamentals are globally sound in the euro zone," Fillon said on the second day of his US trip.

"But the slowing down of growth in the United States, the overvaluation of the euro and the rising energy and food prices will weigh on European growth."

"It is obvious that when the American economy is not going well, all of the world economy feels it, particularly the European economy," said Fillon, whose country takes over the EU's rotating presidency for six months on July 1.

He stressed the need to stop the turmoil in the financial markets.

"It is absolutely essential to bring an end to the current financial turbulence," he said, in reference to the US subprime mortgage crisis that has sent waves across the globe.

The French minister called for implementing measures recommended by the G7 industrial economies -- which include France -- and the International Monetary Fund at their meetings here in early April.

The G7 called on financial institutions around the world to account for the extent of their exposure to subprime securities within 100 days.

Fillon also expressed concern over the possible effects of the US problems on trade, pointing out that US-European trade constituted 40 percent of the world's total and supported 14 million jobs.

"It is a worrisome situation," he said. "The American crisis has repercussions on growth in the euro zone."

On the euro's sharp climb against the plummeting dollar, the French leader said that the euro zone "cannot support by itself the adjustment of all currencies.

"The strong volatility of currencies represents a danger for Europe, for the United States, for the global economy," he said.

Fillon arrived in Washington this week to meet US Treasury Secretary Henry Paulson and Federal Reserve chairman Ben Bernanke to discuss the credit crunch sparked by the US subprime crisis and the dollar-euro exchange rate.

A US Treasury official said after the meeting that Paulson "reaffirmed our support for the FSF (the G7's financial stability forum) Report and international cooperation to tackle financial turmoil."

They discussed moves to push banks to disclose losses and to raise capital, and also the importance of helping poor countries deal with higher food costs, the official said.

Accompanied by Economy Minister Christine Lagarde and Agriculture Minister Michel Barnier, Fillon was also to meet with Dominique Strauss-Kahn, the French head of the International Monetary Fund, and then with leading members of the US business community, including major investors in France.

He also said that he had no plans to revise downward official French economic growth projections for 2008, which stand at 1.7 to 2.0 percent, despite lower forecasts from the IMF and the European Union.

"The French do not need to be worried about that, he said Friday.

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Marketing Your Way Through a Recession

Posted by Henry Maigurira at 04 May 2008, 21:45 CET
The signs of an imminent recession are all around us. The spillover from the subprime mortgage crisis is weakening both consumer confidence and the consumer spending—much of it on credit—that has been buoying the U.S. economy.

Companies should bear eight factors in mind when making their marketing plans for 2008 and 2009:

1. Research the customer. Instead of cutting the market research budget, you need to know more than ever how consumers are redefining value and responding to the recession. Price elasticity curves are changing. Consumers take more time searching for durable goods and negotiate harder at the point of sale. They are more willing to postpone purchases, trade down, or buy less. Must-have features of yesterday are today's can-live-withouts. Trusted brands are especially valued and they can still launch new products successfully, but interest in new brands and new categories fades. Conspicuous consumption becomes less prevalent.

2. Focus on family values. When economic hard times loom, we tend to retreat to our village. Look for cozy hearth-and-home family scenes in advertising to replace images of extreme sports, adventure, and rugged individualism. Zany humor and appeals on the basis of fear are out. Greeting card sales, telephone use, and discretionary spending on home furnishings and home entertainment will hold up well, as uncertainty prompts us to stay at home but also stay connected with family and friends.

Now may be the time to drop your weaker distributors and upgrade your sales force.3. Maintain marketing spending. This is not the time to cut advertising. It is well documented that brands that increase advertising during a recession, when competitors are cutting back, can improve market share and return on investment at lower cost than during good economic times. Uncertain consumers need the reassurance of known brands, and more consumers at home watching television can deliver higher than expected audiences at lower cost-per-thousand impressions. Brands with deep pockets may be able to negotiate favorable advertising rates and lock them in for several years. If you have to cut marketing spending, try to maintain the frequency of advertisements by shifting from 30-second to 15-second advertisements, substituting radio for television advertising, or increasing the use of direct marketing, which gives more immediate sales impact.

4. Adjust product portfolios. Marketers must reforecast demand for each item in their product lines as consumers trade down to models that stress good value, such as cars with fewer options. Tough times favor multi-purpose goods over specialized products, and weaker items in product lines should be pruned. In grocery-products categories, good-quality own-brands gain at the expense of national brands. Industrial customers prefer to see products and services unbundled and priced separately. Gimmicks are out; reliability, durability, safety, and performance are in. New products, especially those that address the new consumer reality and thereby put pressure on competitors, should still be introduced, but advertising should stress superior price performance, not corporate image.

When economic hard times loom, we tend to retreat to our village.5. Support distributors. In uncertain times, no one wants to tie up working capital in excess inventories. Early-buy allowances, extended financing, and generous return policies motivate distributors to stock your full product line. This is particularly true with unproven new products. Be careful about expanding distribution to lower-priced channels; doing so can jeopardize existing relationships and your brand image. However, now may be the time to drop your weaker distributors and upgrade your sales force by recruiting those sacked by other companies.

6. Adjust pricing tactics. Customers will be shopping around for the best deals. You do not necessarily have to cut list prices, but you may need to offer more temporary price promotions, reduce thresholds for quantity discounts, extend credit to long-standing customers, and price smaller pack sizes more aggressively. In tough times, price cuts attract more consumer support than promotions such as sweepstakes and mail-in offers.

7. Stress market share. In all but a few technology categories where growth prospects are strong, companies are in a battle for market share and, in some cases, survival. Knowing your cost structure can ensure that any cuts or consolidation initiatives will save the most money with minimum customer impact. Companies such as Wal-Mart and Southwest Airlines, with strong positions and the most productive cost structures in their industries, can expect to gain market share. Other companies with healthy balance sheets can do so by acquiring weak competitors.

8. Emphasize core values. Although most companies are making employees redundant, chief executives can cement the loyalty of those who remain by assuring employees that the company has survived difficult times before, maintaining quality rather than cutting corners, and servicing existing customers rather than trying to be all things to all people. CEOs must spend more time with customers and employees. Economic recession can elevate the importance of the finance director's balance sheet over the marketing manager's income statement. Managing working capital can easily dominate managing customer relationships. CEOs must counter this. Successful companies do not abandon their marketing strategies in a recession; they adapt them.

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